Empleo informal y pequeños negocios amenazados por el riesgo de una ruptura comercial con EE. UU.

Las violaciones a derechos humanos cometidas por el régimen Ortega-Murillo están a punto de costarle al país su principal tratado comercial y su estabilidad económica. Si Estados Unidos impone aranceles de hasta un 100% o suspende al país del DR-CAFTA como respuesta a estos abusos, miles de empleos formales e informales, y los pequeños comercios derivados de estas actividades, estarían en riesgo de desaparecer

Empleo informal y pequeños negocios amenazados por el riesgo de una ruptura comercial con EE. UU.

TL;DR

  • The U.S. may impose up to 100% tariffs on Nicaraguan products or suspend the country from DR-CAFTA due to human rights and labor violations.
  • This action could destabilize Nicaragua's fiscal health, formal employment, and informal sector jobs tied to foreign trade.
  • The free trade zone sector, employing over 120,000, is particularly vulnerable as its activity depends on preferential access to the U.S. market.
  • Economic experts estimate that for every direct job lost in free trade zones, one to two indirect jobs could also be lost.
  • Other sectors at high risk include agro-industry (tobacco) and livestock, as well as coffee production.
  • A suspension from DR-CAFTA or tariffs would make Nicaraguan exports significantly more expensive, reducing sales and increasing unemployment.
  • Massive job losses in the formal sector would negatively impact Nicaragua's Social Security Institute (INSS) and reduce tax revenue (VAT, income tax).
  • The Nicaraguan economy is structurally fragile and heavily dependent on exports, remittances, and foreign direct investment, making it susceptible to external shocks.
  • Economic rights, including property rights, have been systematically violated, contributing to a poor investment climate and justifying U.S. trade sanctions.