Centroamérica avanza, pero Nicaragua queda atrás en proyecciones del FMI
El más reciente informe del FMI sitúa a Nicaragua entre las economías con menor dinamismo en Centroamérica. Mientras la región muestra resiliencia, el país enfrenta bajo crecimiento, riesgos fiscales y escasa productividad
TL;DR
- Nicaragua is identified as having low economic dynamism within Central America.
- The country is experiencing faster disinflation compared to its neighbors.
- Remittances, while increased in early 2025 due to precautionary transfers, are projected to fall from 2026 onward due to tightening US immigration policies.
- Increased repatriations from the US are putting pressure on local labor markets.
- Nicaragua faces a significant trade disadvantage with a new 18% US tariff on its exports, higher than other Central American nations.
- Unlike Nicaragua, the rest of Central America shows more resilience, supported by remittances, though this growth is expected to slow from 2026.
- The report warns of structural risks for Central American economies due to dependence on the US market and export basket similarity to Mexico.
- Nicaragua is seen as more exposed to external pressures with less room to maneuver for growth compared to the regional average.