¿Cuáles son los riesgos de aumentar dos cifras al salario mínimo en 2026 como propone el Gobierno?

La propuesta de un aumento de dos dígitos en el salario mínimo para el 2026 mantiene preocupados a los empresarios, pero también debería preocupar a los trabajadores, sobre todo a los que intentan conseguir un empleo formal, de acuerdo con la Fundación para la Educación Superior y el Desarrollo (Fedesarrollo).

¿Cuáles son los riesgos de aumentar dos cifras al salario mínimo en 2026 como propone el Gobierno?

TL;DR

  • Fedesarrollo warns that a proposed double-digit minimum wage increase for 2026 could negatively impact those seeking formal employment.
  • Unions are proposing a 15% increase, while the government has suggested 11%.
  • Productivity figures for the year were 0.9%, with per-person productivity falling by 0.32%.
  • Theoretically, the minimum wage increase should align with inflation (currently 5.5%) plus productivity (0.9%).
  • Fedesarrollo suggests a technically desirable range of 6% to 6.5% to maintain purchasing power without harming formal job creation.
  • A previous 11% increase in 2025 for the minimum wage (including transport subsidy) reportedly shifted job creation towards informal employment.
  • The government aims for a consensus on the minimum wage increase by December 16th; otherwise, it will decree the increase.
  • The government's role as an arbitrator is seen as crucial to balance workers' purchasing power with job creation concerns.