Ofensiva de Trump contra petroleros arroja nuevas incógnitas sobre la campaña en Venezuela
La decisión del presidente de EE.UU., Donald Trump, de estrangular la industria del crudo venezolano con la incautación de petroleros plantea incógnitas sobre cuán lejos está dispuesto a llegar Washington en su campaña de presión sobre el Gobierno de Nicolás Maduro, o a la hora de imponer su voluntad por la fuerza en otras regiones […]
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TL;DR
- US President Donald Trump's actions against Venezuela's oil industry raise questions about the extent of Washington's willingness to use force in Latin America.
- Experts find it difficult to predict Trump's actions due to his unpredictable nature and deviation from traditional US foreign policy.
- Trump's declarations are seen as tools of political coercion to pressure Maduro and his administration.
- Interests linked to energy sectors are expected to favor a negotiated solution for Venezuela.
- A negotiated transition is considered the most plausible outcome, with military pressure serving more as a message than a prelude to war.
- Less likely scenarios include selective bombings of specific targets or a large-scale invasion, both deemed costly and unlikely.
- Concerns are raised about the legality of US actions, with a former official questioning orders that could lead to unlawful killings.
- The US administration has revived the Monroe Doctrine, indicating a renewed interest in Latin American internal affairs, partly to counter growing Chinese influence.
- The plan for Venezuela is suggested to stem from the combined interests of Stephen Miller, focused on Maduro's removal and stemming migration, and Secretary of State Marco Rubio, prioritizing Maduro's ouster.