El saldo de 2025: China gana terreno y Nicaragua pierde soberanía

En 2025, la presencia china dejó de ser discreta y se volvió cotidiana: supermercados, minas, zonas económicas especiales y megaproyectos crecieron al amparo del régimen Ortega-Murillo. Detrás del discurso oficial de “desarrollo” se esconde un modelo de dependencia, déficit comercial, sobreprecio en proyectos y despojo que golpea al comercio local y a las comunidades

El saldo de 2025: China gana terreno y Nicaragua pierde soberanía

TL;DR

  • China's presence in Nicaragua became commonplace in 2025, extending beyond business to public and cultural spaces.
  • Nicaragua's imports from China increased significantly, while its exports to China remained marginal, creating a trade deficit.
  • Economists argue that China's trade relationship with Nicaragua is not balanced and operates under preferential treatment for Chinese businesses.
  • The influx of Chinese businesses has led to the decline of local commerce, with some businesses reporting up to a 70% drop in sales.
  • The Nicaraguan regime has granted 66 mining concessions to Chinese companies, covering over 919,000 hectares, raising concerns about resource control and environmental impact.
  • Special Economic Zones (SEZs) were created with significant fiscal benefits for foreign investors, primarily Chinese companies, while undermining national competitiveness.
  • Experts predict that 2026 will reveal the true cost of Nicaragua's alignment with China, warning of increased debt and dependence rather than sustainable development.
  • The geopolitical implications include China offering legitimacy and a governance model to an isolated regime, reinforcing control and opacity.