FMI advierte que ingresos por remesas se reducirán en Nicaragua en 2026
Los cambios de las políticas migratorias de Estados Unidos, tras el regreso de Donald Trump a la Casa Blanca, impactarán en el envío de recursos
TL;DR
- IMF predicts a decline in Nicaragua's remittance income starting in 2026.
- This decline is partly attributed to stricter US immigration policies and the elimination of Temporary Protection Status (TPS).
- Remittances represented a significant portion of Nicaragua's GDP in 2024, with record growth reaching $5.243.1 million.
- The recent increase in remittances is driven by higher transfer amounts, not US labor market conditions.
- Nicaragua's GDP growth is projected to slow down from 3.0% in 2025 to 2.9% in 2026.
- Potential suspension of Nicaragua from the DR-Cafta Free Trade Agreement could further impact the economy.
- Economists note that current growth does not translate to better quality of life due to low productivity.
- Central American countries face a competitive disadvantage in US exports compared to Mexico.
- Real GDP growth for the broader Central America and Dominican Republic region is slowing.
- Inflation is expected to remain stable, with Nicaragua having the lowest rate and Costa Rica seeing an increase.