economy

diciembre 29, 2025

El Dólar ha bajado un promedio de $693 este año, ¿seguirá la tendencia bajista en 2026?

El comportamiento del dólar en Colombia durante 2025 sorprendió a analistas. Y no es para menos, pues la divisa estadounidense bajó casi $700 en lo co...

El Dólar ha bajado un promedio de $693 este año, ¿seguirá la tendencia bajista en 2026?

TL;DR

  • The Colombian peso appreciated significantly against the US dollar in 2025, decreasing by nearly $700 COP.
  • This revaluation benefited importers and reduced costs for international travel and foreign debt services, while negatively impacting exporters and families receiving remittances.
  • Key drivers for the peso's strengthening include record foreign currency inflows, a government strategy to restructure debt by monetizing and repurchasing it, and favorable international interest rates on loans.
  • Global factors such as uncertainty in US economic and migration policies, expected interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, and the impact of oil market dynamics also contributed to the dollar's weakness.
  • Other emerging market currencies like the Mexican peso and Brazilian real also appreciated, driven by attractive interest rates and capital inflows.
  • Looking ahead to 2026, analysts predict a continued downward trend for the dollar, influenced by potential US interest rate cuts and greater global liquidity.
  • However, domestic political factors in Colombia, particularly the electoral year, are expected to be a key driver of potential volatility.
  • Depending on the election outcome, the peso could either depreciate or further appreciate against the dollar.